Oil Remains the Underestimated Risk – Even if the Guns Fall Silent in the Middle East!
As long as the Strait of Hormuz remains blocked, an end to oil price pressure on the markets is not in sight – no matter what Trump announces!
Reading Time: 2 minutes
The gasoline price at the pump in the USA has exceeded the mark of 4 USD per gallon for the first time since August 2022 – and I consider this a serious warning signal that many market participants still underestimate. Because even if Trump declares the war against Iran over, the real problem remains: the Strait of Hormuz. As long as this strategically crucial shipping corridor is even partially blocked, oil prices are likely to stay at or near triple-digit levels – Brent around 107 USD, WTI around 103 USD per barrel. Before the war, about...
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