Nordnet: Scandinavia's Digital Finance Revolution

T. Kletterer
Lesedauer: 4 Minuten

Nordnet establishes itself as the leading online financial services provider in Scandinavia, doubling its market share from 2016 to 2022 and capitalizing on regional trends such as Sweden's premium pension. With just 800 employees, Nordnet offers the most comprehensive range of online financial services and positions itself well ahead of traditional banks with 30,000 employees as the leading one-stop store. The company specializes in the needs of a niche market and offers the most popular financial platform in Scandinavia, where a high...

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Nordnet is an online financial services provider that is increasingly outperforming traditional banks in the Scandinavian market. Between 2016 and 2022, the company doubled its market share in Sweden, Denmark, Norway and Finland from 3% to 6% and recorded average annual sales growth of 31%. This development is based on a broad range of financial services that is unrivaled in the region, as well as leveraging regional trends. One example of this is Sweden, Nordnet\'s home country, where citizens invest contributions in self-selected funds for their retirement through the mandatory premium pension. Around $20 billion is already invested in these funds on Nordnet\'s platform. Nordnet also offers its own fund concepts, which are in high demand due to their effective marketing; one in every fourth dollar saved already goes into these products, and the trend is rising.

The low costs with only 800 employees lead to a high profit margin, which is why the P/S ratio of 11 expected for 2024 appears high, but the P/E ratio of 20 is favorable in view of the enormous growth rates. At 83.5% p.a. since 2018, the financial services provider\'s profit has grown even faster than its revenue over the last five years.

The current 1.86 million customers make Nordnet the largest cross-border online financial services provider in the Scandinavian region. Its supremacy is clearly demonstrated by the fact that total sales on the Nordic stock exchanges have consistently been higher than those of all competitors over the past three years. In this area, the service provider relegates the established banks Nordea with almost 30,000 employees and SEB with 17,500 employees as well as the innovative online service provider Avanza, which also has around 1.9 million customers, to second to fourth place. In addition to investors, the company\'s target group also includes savers, with customers split very evenly between savers (around 50%) and investors (46%) (4% traders). Nordnet currently manages savings capital of over €70 billion for its customers and benefits from the high interest rates, which means that the net interest margin achieved is a very significant profit item.

The company aims to provide private investors with professional tools and emphasizes user-friendliness and transparency. One of Nordnet\'s notable initiatives is the "Shareville" investment platform, which serves as a social network for investors. On this platform, users can share and discuss their investment strategies, which promotes the exchange of knowledge and experience among investors and creates a community environment. Nordnet offers extensive educational resources on investing, which are particularly popular in Scandinavia due to the high shareholder rate. In addition to robo-advisors, Nordnet\'s portfolio includes a complete package for real estate loans. This allows users to conveniently manage all financial matters from a single source - a true one-stop store for financial services.

Over the next three years, experts forecast an annual increase in sales of 4.1% to €440 million for Nordnet by 2026 and an increase in earnings of 4.55% per year to €0.96 per share. These estimates appear very conservative in view of the strong sales growth of the last five years, the ongoing expansion of the addressable market, the continuous acquisition of market share and the annual customer growth. Nordnet itself has set more ambitious medium-term targets and expects average annual customer growth of 10-15%.

Conclusion: Nordnet\'s business model is superior to traditional banks as it has significantly lower fixed costs thanks to a lean employee structure of just 800 employees compared to 30,000 and the absence of costly branch networks. In addition, Nordnet successfully specializes in the needs of a niche market, which protects it from direct competition from large international groups. It is therefore to be expected that Nordnet will continue to successfully expand its market share.

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